Biggest bargains and busts: ROI with 95% bands

The 14 biggest bargains and 11 biggest busts by ROI. Each dot is ROI in crores (season value − price paid); whiskers are the 95% bootstrap band. Teal clears its price even at its downside (a lock steal), red misses it even at its upside (a lock bust). The percentage at the right is p(bargain). Hover any dot.

-30-20-1001020304050break-evenROI = season value − price paid, crores (WAR × 10.6 Cr/win (one global rate)) · bars = 95% bootstrap bandVaibhav Suryavanshi100%Finn Allen97%Prince Yadav100%Lungisani Ngidi100%Sunil Narine99%Sakib Hussain99%Bhuvneshwar Kumar99%Eshan Malinga98%Priyansh Arya97%Brijesh Sharma100%Ryan Rickelton97%Kartik Tyagi99%Abhishek Sharma92%Devdutt Padikkal99%Hardik Pandya1%Shimron Hetmyer0%Jitesh Sharma0%Prashant Veer0%Liam Livingstone0%Shreyas Iyer1%Cameron Green0%Matheesha Pathirana0%Ruturaj Gaikwad0%Nicholas Pooran0%Rishabh Pant0%